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Plan & Flow · 10 of 55 led with this

Stop finding out
after you promised.

Two problems operators describe as one: they cannot see what they are going to need, and they cannot sequence what they have already committed to. Both currently live in a spreadsheet next to the ERP.

“Forecasting is guesswork.”

President · import-heavy distributor
app.allometry · Plan & Flow Demand forecast · SKU-2240 12-month horizon · p50 with p90 band ±12% at 6 mo 900 600 300 now +6 mo +12 mo CAPACITY · WEEK 34 Committed 348 h of 320 h available OVER BY 28 h
A forecast with its confidence band, and a week that is already over-committed.
01 · How it works

Four steps. The decision stays yours.

01
Forecast
Demand projected from your order history and seasonality — with a confidence band shown, not hidden.
02
Cover
Inventory position measured against that forecast, using real lead times including overseas supply.
03
Sequence
Jobs ordered against the capacity you actually have, not the capacity on paper.
04
Warn
Over-commitment raised before the promise is made — the scheduling equivalent of a margin breach.
02 · What it does

Built from what operators actually described.

A confidence band you can see

Operators used the word guesswork. A forecast without a stated error range is guesswork with a decimal point, so we show the band and track our accuracy per SKU and site.

Lead times that reflect reality

Import-heavy supply chains were called out specifically. Reorder recommendations respect the lead time that actually applies, not a default.

Capacity, honestly counted

Scheduling against real available capacity rather than theoretical throughput, so the backlog reflects what will happen.

Commitment risk, early

The most expensive scheduling error is a promise you cannot keep. That gets surfaced before it is made, with the constraint named.

03 · Committed vs available

You have 320 in stock. You have already sold 348.

On a short cycle this never bites — you quote, you ship, the number is right. On a fourteen-week cycle, quotes accepted in March consume stock that arrives in June, and the on-hand figure everyone is reading is a number about the past.

ONE SKU · 14-WEEK LEAD TIME MARAPRMAY JUNJULAUG units ON HAND · 320 +180 arrives COMMITTED — accepted quotes WEEK 9 — OVERSOLD committed 348 · available 320 28 units you do not have SURFACED IN MARCH, NOT JUNE Reorder now, or stop quoting week 9. Every accepted quote decrements available stock on the date it will actually ship — not the date it was signed.
The oversold point is knowable in March. It is only discovered in June because nobody nets accepted quotes against arriving stock.
04 · The outcome

What it changes

The measurable outcome is not a prettier dashboard. It is fewer stockouts on the items that matter, and fewer commitments that quietly slip.

Forecast accuracystated and tracked
Reorder timinglead-time aware
Backlogsequenced against capacity
Over-commitmentsurfaced pre-promise
Agentic execution, human authority. The agent does the work and attaches a number; you keep the decision. Every consequential write is gated on your approval, and no recommendation that breaches a floor you set is ever shown as an option — it escalates instead. How the substrate works →
05 · What it costs

$2,000 a month. Connect included.

Plan & Flow is $2,000 a month, billed annually — $24,000 a year. Monthly billing is available at +15%. Connect, the layer that reads your system of record, ships with it at no extra cost. Most operators run one or two modules; past that, Closed Loop prices the whole operation by revenue and installed addresses instead, from $2,500 a month — and adds the unit ledger no single module can produce alone.

$2,000per month, billed annually · Connect included
06 · Alongside

The other modules.

Start with a number, not a demo.

A free Margin Scan reads your data and tells you what your pricing is leaking. No implementation, no commitment.